Round 5 match predictions
Season 50 · win chances for each team match · 10,000 simulations · updated 2026-10-20 18:12 UTC
Peaky Decliners: An Authoritative Commentary by Svidler, King et al. (50th edition)
vs
my english needs work
Biggest potential swing this round · what's at stake
Peaky Decliners: An Authoritative Commentary by Svidler, King et al. (50th edition)
TitleNow 29%Win 49%·Draw 27%·Loss 10%
Top 3Now 56%Win 78%·Draw 54%·Loss 35%
my english needs work
TitleNow 20%Win 37%·Draw 18%·Loss 5%
Top 3Now 42%Win 64%·Draw 45%·Loss 18%
Chance at the end of the season after a win · draw · loss in this match, from the season simulations. Boards already played count as played, so the numbers move during the week (updated 4× a day).
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
king_hunter-1
54%
hagia_sophia
46%
timothyha
46%
shadowofself
54%
scarff
54%
versaumnisgrund
46%
robertjackson
46%
marekw78
54%
rolihlahla
54%
ecoarrivazumashoomzo
46%
jfiras
46%
parziwal08
54%
ttsgosadow
54%
marco_chess13
46%
hpors
46%
jakubjaniak1994
54%
If anyone can refute it—don't show me
vs
Wandering Knights
At stake (season chance after win · draw · loss)
If anyone can refute it—don't show meTitle 20%·10%·2%Top 3 50%·26%·10%
Wandering KnightsTitle 10%·3%·–Top 3 29%·11%·3%
– = fewer than 1,000 simulated seasons had that result, or it never happened.
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
chemengineeer
54%
abhinavap
46%
antisana
46%
ysgwydd
54%
sideshow_bob
54%
bufferunderrun
46%
banshee3333
46%
llawlietnea
54%
raindy
54%
airini_h
46%
burner_account17
54%
cinemashow
46%
epsilonomega
46%
mtsundance
54%
pvgibson
46%
masterpiece_ki
54%
100 Suggestions You Must Know
vs
50th Parallel Pawns
At stake (season chance after win · draw · loss)
100 Suggestions You Must KnowTitle 10%·3%·–Top 3 32%·14%·5%
50th Parallel PawnsTop 3 25%·10%·2%
– = fewer than 1,000 simulated seasons had that result, or it never happened.
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
hanzo_19
54%
intemperate
46%
lorb
46%
g3hul
54%
dadievid
54%
drotciv
46%
joonaf
46%
retiredseahorse
54%
upgoerfive
54%
xmacxo
46%
spacebaristaken
46%
caiodias
54%
nairwolf
54%
tjcanavan
46%
rajuppi
46%
bickedag
54%
pspspspspsps
vs
The horsey don't belong here
At stake (season chance after win · draw · loss)
pspspspspspsTop 3 24%·10%·2%
The horsey don't belong hereTop 3 20%·9%·1%
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
faznaz83
54%
newtullius
46%
naveengeorge
46%
juicymove
54%
jwwells42
54%
nestor3690
46%
glbert
54%
tomshko
46%
markommbrzi
46%
fwcj68
54%
lou-e
46%
finerik
54%
chraki
46%
acerb95
54%
cham
54%
nubro
46%
50 pawns of Giri
vs
Fifty Shades of Time Trouble
At stake (season chance after win · draw · loss)
50 pawns of GiriTop 3 21%·9%·1%
Fifty Shades of Time TroubleTop 3 28%·12%·2%
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
magagna
54%
echecetmatt
46%
aguayo
46%
aloo_bhaloo
54%
threeonesix
46%
patk74
54%
pawnzischeme5280
54%
jbyrd11
46%
bajaka91
46%
tellerwascher
54%
bjfletcher
46%
mqll
54%
davidt2465
54%
timefork
46%
jarolos
54%
m-p-d
46%
Rooky Horror Pawn Show
vs
Riding with the King
At stake (season chance after win · draw · loss)
Rooky Horror Pawn ShowTop 3 18%·8%·<1%
Riding with the KingTop 3 23%·10%·2%
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
nlance
54%
bxvrc2lh
46%
mizrab
54%
mootivator
46%
aldric123
46%
far1108
54%
leoyee
54%
titusalone91
46%
gpetris
46%
kyriakos1301
54%
fireball100
54%
shurbz
46%
davidsifre
46%
dikiydrozd
54%
simonwashere
46%
m0r1
54%
Yeah, well, that's just like, your opening, man.
vs
J’adoube-Al-Blunder
At stake (season chance after win · draw · loss)
J’adoube-Al-BlunderTop 3 15%·7%·–
– = fewer than 1,000 simulated seasons had that result, or it never happened.
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
pavonine
54%
computeruser2607
46%
gonenowhere
46%
ben3536
54%
n8otom8o
46%
butterpecan
54%
giziti
54%
pepepibote
46%
jpgmich
46%
lotus_62
54%
time_lord19
54%
jamgrass741
46%
cosmoaps
46%
dragon19410
54%
mastersrv
54%
storybrooke
46%
Operation Pawnstorm
vs
Season 50 midlife crisis
At stake (season chance after win · draw · loss)
Operation PawnstormTop 3 12%·5%·–
– = fewer than 1,000 simulated seasons had that result, or it never happened.
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
akristjansson
54%
capestgeorge
46%
duty5521
46%
checkmate_insurance
54%
wave2679
46%
asian42
54%
slouchtoelysium
54%
baffodacciaio
46%
rpcx
46%
immortality
54%
moonspawn
54%
makemymove
46%
ekramymedad
46%
mmorrisohio
54%
seniorjriii
54%
electricfalcon
46%
50 Shades of Swindles and Tricks
vs
Total Tomination
At stake (season chance after win · draw · loss)
Total TominationTop 3 10%·2%·<1%
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
bobbyfischer153
54%
tommeketoch
46%
shamdi
54%
oachkatzerlschwoaf
46%
astronominoff
46%
inter-temporal
54%
oldfishnewfish
54%
highonpotnuse
46%
tsscfttsos
46%
ciraid
54%
kurdd
54%
bpack
46%
aphoticblues
46%
enprisewithease
54%
dama_x_rey
46%
apidae
54%
fifty shades of black and white
vs
Illiterate Alliteration Explorers
At stake (season chance after win · draw · loss)
Illiterate Alliteration ExplorersTop 3 11%·3%·–
– = fewer than 1,000 simulated seasons had that result, or it never happened.
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
karasso
54%
kayrosas
46%
angborxley
46%
kendragonx
54%
qrs
46%
darkfl0me
54%
candiatemaster2048
46%
friedwing
54%
rcstinson
54%
polkyman
46%
cbpio
46%
rusty_2003
54%
patrickvrielink
54%
rehbein
46%
subhraneil24
54%
plaisirs_ephemeres
46%
Rookies Of The Year
vs
Pirc and Roll
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
lordziax
54%
sycoraxcirce
46%
saybeginner
46%
nikolast86
54%
pawnpushingpleb
54%
yotambienjuego
46%
anupam1213
46%
monocarp
54%
pratikbora
54%
jlanceho
46%
castling-companion
46%
thecrackedtherom
54%
jd0972
46%
capturingbravo
54%
glayghost
54%
scoobysnack19
46%
Don't give a check your ascii can't cache
vs
What a team! And we managed to avoid Prosti
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
kygreek
54%
rborja1980
46%
anonymousbozo
46%
ameyer
54%
abourg84
54%
f1re_bunny
46%
antazhi8
46%
itsasecret2000
54%
minot
54%
feet_barbie
46%
mobusel
46%
val1313
54%
ttotr
46%
gary0892
54%
tuomas01
54%
flipiflapi
46%
50-50 my next move is a blunder
vs
Morphy's Mates
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
cvillian
54%
chaisoul
46%
ascannerdarkly
46%
asimovfoundation
54%
welpe
54%
kuro5hin
46%
leverkuhn
46%
alikadhim2
54%
funnylikeaclown
54%
drchessdad
46%
lexgrad
46%
eldotore
54%
skulm93
54%
keeto
46%
ohdearpleaseno
46%
fischer_and_chips88
54%
The Tarrasch Talkers
vs
Knights of the Round Tablebase
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
qudit
54%
slowroast
46%
narrenkind
46%
prasannakumar2084
54%
papashirogane
46%
gabreke
54%
stumct
46%
lepored
54%
wolfattack
54%
selenedeafrodita
46%
bigpig93
54%
bagelkh
46%
johansen231
46%
andrewrimmer
54%
vayne987
54%
professormethane
46%
Old but hoping for stratospheric improvement
vs
King's Landing
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
jelle1
54%
unknownprodigy
46%
morganbp
46%
maxviktory
54%
k5kgc
46%
mimrolls
54%
glennjamesmax
46%
hthree
54%
knightfury21
54%
paulwithans
46%
thestormingeagle
54%
aryan99
46%
zorakforpresident
54%
apawnpusher
46%
prostidude
46%
tranzoo
54%
Pantless to the Max on a Metal Mund Jeep over Planet Lewinberg in Style
vs
Pawn with the Sickness
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
planetchessclub
54%
sivakumarr
46%
shogistyle
46%
irongalaxy
54%
ananimalstolemypants
54%
cs2k25
46%
lewinberg
54%
avemanyeg
46%
gatzios
46%
gidged
54%
matthieu_max
54%
iwishiweredecent
46%
metalpawn
46%
wtm22
54%
thejeep
46%
pykkis
54%
Silk Road Sacrifices
vs
50 first mates
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
razorneck
54%
petro2
46%
fexxox
46%
paulze2000
54%
mo_mo
54%
kamagayajiji
46%
atrueravenclaw
46%
semlegesnev
54%
reformedplayer44
54%
mixxanber
46%
rosey001
46%
zal667
54%
bortvinik
54%
hylpen
46%
catholicity
46%
blueside617
54%
Blunders Without Borders
vs
Leningrad School of Blunders
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
kjar
54%
betolini
46%
caodanny
46%
acebulf
54%
le_merovingien
46%
gideon7
54%
lc69
54%
flatheman3
46%
mkubecek
54%
shravee
46%
ironcladunicorn
54%
kauberdi
46%
mongreltiger
46%
welshkebab
54%
moccy
46%
damianwong01
54%
Rooky Horror Pawn Show fan club
vs
Inexplicable Fianchetto Agenda
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
mrmatt96
54%
digvijay_sunil
46%
likespace_bot
46%
namegoesinhere
54%
diecast_illusion
46%
serenemoose
54%
waterlorda7890
54%
jose684
46%
rskyoz
46%
stclion
54%
perspikace
46%
drrickinct
54%
luwasserman
54%
orionfull
46%
gingersquirrelnuts
54%
kborman
46%
We're not going to TAKE TAKE TAKE it
vs
passed pawn patrol
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
buki9
54%
lupy
46%
silkthewanderer
46%
crapablanca91
54%
basyaar
46%
jtschuwirth
54%
ponderinsilence
54%
kezberg
46%
gavalanche20
46%
alexgaul
54%
zubenelgenubi
54%
sarahwynn
46%
chessishard101
46%
losingisthebest
54%
areallycoldmatty
54%
nightsub
46%
Svidl, Svidler, Svidlest
vs
Svidler? I hardly know her
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
yellorambo
54%
rajjsinghh
46%
jg777
46%
mekumcu
54%
goldenretrieverchess
54%
levier17
46%
macha1313
54%
ezze_13
46%
tristanbrown17
54%
mcstudly
46%
pineapplechiffoncake
46%
nrv773
54%
mennonite
46%
micomps
54%
schittering06
46%
ok_4
54%
The Greek Gifty Nifty Fifty
vs
50 Ways to Fork Your Lover
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
aactrl
54%
pemula64
46%
hesperian
46%
chesstricksandtraps
54%
franconianchess
46%
ivanhomeless
54%
jeeprep2374
54%
switchoffengine
46%
cowtone
46%
nikker33
54%
gmat20020
54%
alzaw
46%
wordrearrangment
46%
kostasvl
54%
tastypotatohead
54%
jdw10
46%
oh those 64 squares can encompass such immensity
vs
There Will Be Blunders
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
milsbees
54%
neothehero
46%
t_t2603
46%
ventricule
54%
pezzo17
54%
momor
46%
nermin_dedovic
54%
wombann
46%
fulmarsky
46%
pgrucza
54%
brilliantblunder
54%
rjhoro
46%
nirakuhakamura
46%
genturgidson
54%
guitarspider
46%
chessyesmen
54%
The Last Shall be the First
vs
Mating for Godot
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
arandommove
54%
onlylongtimegames
46%
maroczyy
54%
carlosmagnussen
46%
blazedandconfused
46%
mrscribbles
54%
angrybird029
54%
tactix47
46%
fischerforlife
46%
baberle
54%
sciencegeek
54%
scrytop
46%
mgold
46%
mronemore
54%
sutoneigt
46%
osumarko
54%
The kannjuring
vs
Fork You Very Much
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
funnyanimatorjimtv
54%
sussasun
46%
billy_sprinkle
46%
gronen
54%
cluffas
46%
adande1
54%
knusbrick
46%
rajib_r_c
54%
merricks
54%
imen001
46%
tranfunzel
54%
boinetnicolas
46%
martindanielsson
46%
jimq0
54%
its_ck
54%
ickydemon
46%
The Woodpushers
vs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
rathotdog
54%
fritsj
46%
terrormt
46%
igor_jamnik
54%
medericnzieaudzaghe
54%
rustyvm
46%
cody13
46%
waldoistwo
54%
johnjpershing
54%
wachini
46%
polivolitis
46%
pawneater2020
54%
marketmike
54%
happysandbags
46%
beisn
46%
hiddengrandmaster92
54%
Not all who blunder are lost
vs
Lang and Lloyd R0Bbed Sed in the windy Canadian Alps with a fork
Expected final score
4.0
-
4.0
Score now (0/8 played)
0.0 - 0.0
j3084
54%
lloydret
46%
eight_x_eight
54%
blang316
46%
bncl
54%
sednomini
46%
voylento
46%
matthewkcanada
54%
jdannan
46%
alp_arslan92
54%
owlfn62025
46%
fork2020
54%
computability
54%
r0b-w
46%
che55m45ter
46%
berndwind
54%
Bar: chance each team wins the match, or it ends 4-4. Board %: each player's expected score in an unplayed game. <1% = above zero but under 1%.