Season finish
Season 50 · from Round 5 · 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season · updated 2026-10-20 18:12 UTC
Biggest potential swing this round
Now 1st
Peaky Decliners: An Authoritative Commentary by Svidler, King et al. (50th edition)
TitleNow 29%Win 49%·Draw 27%·Loss 10%
Top 3Now 56%Win 78%·Draw 54%·Loss 35%
vs
Now 2nd
my english needs work
TitleNow 20%Win 37%·Draw 18%·Loss 5%
Top 3Now 42%Win 64%·Draw 45%·Loss 18%
Season chance after a win · draw · loss in this Round 5 match.
All matches this round →| Team | Now | Title | Top 3 | Top 8 | Bottom 8 | MP | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peaky Decliners: An Authoritative Commentary by Svidler, King et al. (50th edition) | 1 | 29% | 56% | 77% | – | 12.0 | 39.5 |
| my english needs work | 2 | 20% | 42% | 71% | – | 12.0 | 35.6 |
| If anyone can refute it—don't show me | 3 | 11% | 29% | 58% | – | 11.0 | 36.0 |
| 100 Suggestions You Must Know | 4 | 5% | 18% | 39% | – | 10.1 | 35.6 |
| Wandering Knights | 6 | 5% | 15% | 37% | – | 10.0 | 35.1 |
| Fifty Shades of Time Trouble | 7 | 4% | 15% | 38% | <1% | 10.1 | 34.7 |
| pspspspspsps | 5 | 3% | 12% | 34% | <1% | 9.9 | 34.8 |
| 50th Parallel Pawns | 9 | 4% | 13% | 35% | <1% | 10.0 | 34.1 |
| Riding with the King | 8 | 4% | 12% | 35% | <1% | 10.1 | 34.1 |
| 50 pawns of Giri | 10 | 4% | 11% | 33% | <1% | 10.1 | 33.6 |
| The horsey don't belong here | 11 | 3% | 10% | 32% | <1% | 10.0 | 33.0 |
| Rooky Horror Pawn Show | 12 | 3% | 9% | 29% | <1% | 9.9 | 32.9 |
| J’adoube-Al-Blunder | 13 | 2% | 7% | 25% | <1% | 9.0 | 35.6 |
| Operation Pawnstorm | 14 | <1% | 6% | 22% | 2% | 9.0 | 34.4 |
| Illiterate Alliteration Explorers | 17 | <1% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 9.1 | 33.1 |
| Total Tomination | 15 | <1% | 5% | 20% | 2% | 9.0 | 33.5 |
| Season 50 midlife crisis | 18 | <1% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 9.0 | 33.0 |
| fifty shades of black and white | 16 | <1% | 5% | 18% | 2% | 8.9 | 33.3 |
| 50 Shades of Swindles and Tricks | 20 | <1% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 9.1 | 32.1 |
| Yeah, well, that's just like, your opening, man. | 19 | <1% | 3% | 16% | 3% | 8.9 | 31.9 |
| Pirc and Roll | 21 | – | 3% | 10% | 5% | 8.1 | 34.6 |
| Morphy's Mates | 23 | – | 2% | 9% | 5% | 8.0 | 33.6 |
| What a team! And we managed to avoid Prosti | 22 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 8.0 | 33.5 |
| 50 first mates | 27 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 8.1 | 32.7 |
| King's Landing | 25 | – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 8.1 | 32.6 |
| Don't give a check your ascii can't cache | 29 | – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 8.0 | 32.5 |
| Rookies Of The Year | 28 | – | 1% | 7% | 6% | 8.0 | 32.5 |
| Pawn with the Sickness | 31 | – | <1% | 7% | 6% | 8.1 | 32.1 |
| 50-50 my next move is a blunder | 30 | – | 1% | 7% | 6% | 8.0 | 32.1 |
| Pantless to the Max on a Metal Mund Jeep over Planet Lewinberg in Style | 26 | – | 1% | 7% | 7% | 8.0 | 32.4 |
| The Tarrasch Talkers | 24 | – | 1% | 7% | 7% | 7.9 | 32.3 |
| Knights of the Round Tablebase | 32 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 8.1 | 31.6 |
| Old but hoping for stratospheric improvement | 33 | – | <1% | 6% | 8% | 8.0 | 30.9 |
| Silk Road Sacrifices | 34 | – | <1% | 6% | 8% | 8.0 | 30.9 |
| Blunders Without Borders | 35 | – | <1% | 5% | 8% | 8.0 | 30.0 |
| Leningrad School of Blunders | 36 | – | – | 3% | 16% | 7.1 | 31.6 |
| Inexplicable Fianchetto Agenda | 40 | – | – | 2% | 21% | 7.1 | 29.6 |
| passed pawn patrol | 39 | – | – | 2% | 21% | 7.0 | 30.0 |
| Rooky Horror Pawn Show fan club | 37 | – | – | 2% | 22% | 6.9 | 30.4 |
| Svidler? I hardly know her | 41 | – | – | 2% | 21% | 7.0 | 29.6 |
| We're not going to TAKE TAKE TAKE it | 38 | – | – | 2% | 24% | 6.9 | 29.8 |
| The Greek Gifty Nifty Fifty | 42 | – | – | <1% | 30% | 5.9 | 31.4 |
| Mating for Godot | 45 | – | – | <1% | 32% | 6.1 | 30.1 |
| Svidl, Svidler, Svidlest | 43 | – | – | <1% | 32% | 5.9 | 30.4 |
| Fork You Very Much | 46 | – | – | <1% | 33% | 6.1 | 29.6 |
| oh those 64 squares can encompass such immensity | 44 | – | – | <1% | 34% | 5.9 | 30.3 |
| There Will Be Blunders | 48 | – | – | <1% | 36% | 6.0 | 29.0 |
| 50 Ways to Fork Your Lover | 49 | – | – | <1% | 36% | 6.1 | 28.6 |
| The Last Shall be the First | 47 | – | – | <1% | 39% | 5.9 | 28.9 |
| The kannjuring | 50 | – | – | – | 40% | 5.9 | 28.3 |
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ | 51 | – | – | – | 56% | 5.0 | 28.5 |
| Not all who blunder are lost | 52 | – | – | – | 58% | 5.0 | 27.9 |
| The Woodpushers | 53 | – | – | – | 65% | 4.9 | 26.3 |
| Lang and Lloyd R0Bbed Sed in the windy Canadian Alps with a fork | 54 | – | – | – | 71% | 4.1 | 27.6 |
Teams in projected order. Bottom 8 = places 47-54. MP / GP = average match / game points at the end of the season. <1% = happened in only a few simulations, – = never happened. Clinched / Out of reach = already settled by match points alone (tiebreaks not counted).
Show every place
| Team | Now | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peaky Decliners: An Authoritative Commentary by Svidler, King et al. (50th edition) | 1 | 29% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| my english needs work | 2 | 20% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| If anyone can refute it—don't show me | 3 | 11% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 100 Suggestions You Must Know | 4 | 5% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wandering Knights | 6 | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Fifty Shades of Time Trouble | 7 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| pspspspspsps | 5 | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 50th Parallel Pawns | 9 | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Riding with the King | 8 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 50 pawns of Giri | 10 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| The horsey don't belong here | 11 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Rooky Horror Pawn Show | 12 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| J’adoube-Al-Blunder | 13 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Operation Pawnstorm | 14 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – | – |
| Illiterate Alliteration Explorers | 17 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – |
| Total Tomination | 15 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – |
| Season 50 midlife crisis | 18 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – |
| fifty shades of black and white | 16 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – |
| 50 Shades of Swindles and Tricks | 20 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – |
| Yeah, well, that's just like, your opening, man. | 19 | <1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | – |
| Pirc and Roll | 21 | – | <1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – | – |
| Morphy's Mates | 23 | – | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| What a team! And we managed to avoid Prosti | 22 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| 50 first mates | 27 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| King's Landing | 25 | – | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| Don't give a check your ascii can't cache | 29 | – | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| Rookies Of The Year | 28 | – | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| Pawn with the Sickness | 31 | – | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| 50-50 my next move is a blunder | 30 | – | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| Pantless to the Max on a Metal Mund Jeep over Planet Lewinberg in Style | 26 | – | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| The Tarrasch Talkers | 24 | – | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – |
| Knights of the Round Tablebase | 32 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Old but hoping for stratospheric improvement | 33 | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | – |
| Silk Road Sacrifices | 34 | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | – |
| Blunders Without Borders | 35 | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | – |
| Leningrad School of Blunders | 36 | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| Inexplicable Fianchetto Agenda | 40 | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| passed pawn patrol | 39 | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | <1% |
| Rooky Horror Pawn Show fan club | 37 | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | <1% |
| Svidler? I hardly know her | 41 | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | <1% |
| We're not going to TAKE TAKE TAKE it | 38 | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | <1% |
| The Greek Gifty Nifty Fifty | 42 | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Mating for Godot | 45 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| Svidl, Svidler, Svidlest | 43 | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| Fork You Very Much | 46 | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| oh those 64 squares can encompass such immensity | 44 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| There Will Be Blunders | 48 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| 50 Ways to Fork Your Lover | 49 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| The Last Shall be the First | 47 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| The kannjuring | 50 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ | 51 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 10% |
| Not all who blunder are lost | 52 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 12% |
| The Woodpushers | 53 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% |
| Lang and Lloyd R0Bbed Sed in the windy Canadian Alps with a fork | 54 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 23% |
Each team's chances
Peaky Decliners: An Authoritative Commentary by Svidler, King et al. (50th edition)
Now 1 → likely 1
my english needs work
Now 2 → likely 1
If anyone can refute it—don't show me
Now 3 → likely 2
100 Suggestions You Must Know
Now 4 → likely 3
Wandering Knights
Now 6 → likely 3
Fifty Shades of Time Trouble
Now 7 → likely 4
pspspspspsps
Now 5 → likely 4
50th Parallel Pawns
Now 9 → likely 4
Riding with the King
Now 8 → likely 4
50 pawns of Giri
Now 10 → likely 5
The horsey don't belong here
Now 11 → likely 5
Rooky Horror Pawn Show
Now 12 → likely 15
J’adoube-Al-Blunder
Now 13 → likely 17
Operation Pawnstorm
Now 14 → likely 18
Illiterate Alliteration Explorers
Now 17 → likely 20
Total Tomination
Now 15 → likely 7
Season 50 midlife crisis
Now 18 → likely 8
fifty shades of black and white
Now 16 → likely 19
50 Shades of Swindles and Tricks
Now 20 → likely 8
Yeah, well, that's just like, your opening, man.
Now 19 → likely 21
Pirc and Roll
Now 21 → likely 24
Morphy's Mates
Now 23 → likely 24
What a team! And we managed to avoid Prosti
Now 22 → likely 24
50 first mates
Now 27 → likely 26
King's Landing
Now 25 → likely 26
Don't give a check your ascii can't cache
Now 29 → likely 28
Rookies Of The Year
Now 28 → likely 27
Pawn with the Sickness
Now 31 → likely 27
50-50 my next move is a blunder
Now 30 → likely 28
Pantless to the Max on a Metal Mund Jeep over Planet Lewinberg in Style
Now 26 → likely 26
The Tarrasch Talkers
Now 24 → likely 26
Knights of the Round Tablebase
Now 32 → likely 29
Old but hoping for stratospheric improvement
Now 33 → likely 30
Silk Road Sacrifices
Now 34 → likely 30
Blunders Without Borders
Now 35 → likely 31
Leningrad School of Blunders
Now 36 → likely 34
Inexplicable Fianchetto Agenda
Now 40 → likely 38
passed pawn patrol
Now 39 → likely 37
Rooky Horror Pawn Show fan club
Now 37 → likely 47
Svidler? I hardly know her
Now 41 → likely 37
We're not going to TAKE TAKE TAKE it
Now 38 → likely 48
The Greek Gifty Nifty Fifty
Now 42 → likely 50
Mating for Godot
Now 45 → likely 51
Svidl, Svidler, Svidlest
Now 43 → likely 50
Fork You Very Much
Now 46 → likely 51
oh those 64 squares can encompass such immensity
Now 44 → likely 50
There Will Be Blunders
Now 48 → likely 52
50 Ways to Fork Your Lover
Now 49 → likely 52
The Last Shall be the First
Now 47 → likely 52
The kannjuring
Now 50 → likely 52
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ
Now 51 → likely 54
Not all who blunder are lost
Now 52 → likely 54
The Woodpushers
Now 53 → likely 54
Lang and Lloyd R0Bbed Sed in the windy Canadian Alps with a fork
Now 54 → likely 54
Bars: chance of each place (numbers in %), places 1 to the last left to right.